Just a reminder that if you'd like complete coverage of today's card from Aqueduct, merely go back one page.
AMAZING news for us here. If you loved the annual homage I write about my father every year for SaratogaBets , you'll be happy to know that I was asked to do a reading for "Our American Stories" (1.7 million weekly listeners), and guess what -- here it is ! http://www.ouramericannetwork.org/story?title=My-Parents-Are-Gone-But-Their-Traditions-Aren-t&fbclid=IwAR0nxu9wzv3sHr3853i6prcuIYN43GK6J-1YaDzmy7ft7oIE2CD5AbDiCjU
I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same!
Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None
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Graded Stakes - 3/9 - Tampa Bay Derby
#1 ADMIRE may not have shown much in the '19 bow, but we had him on top that day, as per our analysis: "Romans charge showed a nice "Z" pattern when green as grass in the career starter, and rebounded nicely to procure the sheepskin on the stretchout -- never easy to do. Fella has been freshened up since, and given some natural maturity and a possible fast track, just may surprise in the day's feature." -- but things didn't quite out, as he was NEVER in a comfortable spot. The adjusted speed figure came back honest enough ( 92.6 ) and we are ecstatic that Dale is giving this one another shot going long. Aforementioned 14% conditioner is 21:6-2-2 ( 29% ) with second off the L/O graded dirt stayers between the odds of 4-1 & 20-1, and just look at the prices of these winners -- $13, $10, $18, $31, $15 & $34 ! Would not be surprised to see this one sit a perfect pocket trip early on & either tip out turning for home, or find a seam inside of a tiring pacesetter. #4 DREAM MAKER recently blitzed optional foes down in the Bayou, and 18% Casse just about doubles that rate w/ second off the layoff graded dirt routers who won their most recent & are 8-1 or less today ( $13, $4 7 $4 ). #11 ZENDEN is an extremely game sort who may last for a share.
Aqueduct ( Current ) 55-272 ( $335.50 ) Beatable Favorites: 6-17 ( 35.3 % ) Favorites Win %: 115-272 ( 42.3% )( As of Saturday morning )
Graded Stakes ( Final ): 0-2 ( $0.00 ) Beatable Favorites: N/A Favorite's Win %: 0-2 ( 0.0% )
All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):
( 2013-2018 Final ) 60-366 ( $518.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 18-53 ( 34.0% ) Favorite's Win %: 125-366 ( 34.2% ) +/-: -29.1% against a 17.1% takeout
Poly Tracks2013-6 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 ) Beatable Favorites : 15-68 ( 22.1% )Favorite's Win %: 163-587 ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6% against a 15.6% takeout
Dirt Tracks 2013-8 (All Final):2061-10077 ($17,281.50) Beatable Favorites : 304-1085( 28.0% )Favorite's Win %: 3698-10180 ( 36.4% ) +/-: -14.2% against a 16.7% takeout
Cumulative Stats (All Final): 2146-10645 ($18,100.70) Beatable Favorites : 319-1153( 27.7% )Favorite's Win %: 3861-10767 ( 35.9% ) +/-: -14.9% against a 16.5% takeout