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Profitable grand slam for us yesterday on a day filled with the stuff. 

Just a reminder that if you want tomorrow's Fountain of Youth coverage, merely go back one page.  

AMAZING news here. If you loved the annual homage I write about my father every year for SaratogaBets , you'll be happy to know that I was asked to do a reading for "Our American Stories" (1.7 million weekly listeners), and guess what -- here it is !  http://www.ouramericannetwork.org/story?title=My-Parents-Are-Gone-But-Their-Traditions-Aren-t&fbclid=IwAR0nxu9wzv3sHr3853i6prcuIYN43GK6J-1YaDzmy7ft7oIE2CD5AbDiCjU

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same!


Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None


I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me here on Disqus, or on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1. For those who dig the scene here, and would like to be part of it, registration on our home page is easy, and if you'd like, feel free to include my name in the referral box, and let me know, so I can try and get ya' some cool swag!


 

Aqueduct - 3/2

 

Race  1

1.Mucho Lucky 

2.Gallant Bid

3.Amistad

#3 MUCHO LUCKY improved by about 50% from the first start to the next, and while some of that can be attributed to getting Lasix for the first time, there's always a chance that this July foal ( what? ) may just improve as he matures. Slight drop in class today and we'll bite at a price. #2 GALLANT BID was essentially eased first time out, but is another sliding down the ladder and has blinkers added this afternoon. #7 AMISTAD hadn't been showing much in the mornings, but papa Englehart really tightened the screws with a 7th best of 137 gate move a week ago, and of course we like the draw for today's career starter. 

 

Race  2

1.Questeq

2.My Lightnin Strike

3.Volodina

#4 QUESTEQ has partaken in the exacta in four of six, including a gamely runner up finish in a nearly identical spot just over three weeks ago. Get the feeling this one may be overlooked in the odds department here, and that's fine by us, as the adjusted figure from last may be even better over a fast track. #3 MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE hasn't been seen since Hector was a pup, but Levine usually brings 'em back ready, and pre-layoff pilot returns, which is always a positive. #2 VOLODINA is another returning off an elongated absence, but new shotcaller is exceptionally better than the last one, and gal owns a win at the trip.

 

Race  3

1.Seethisquick

2.Fox Red

3.Dirtyfoot

#2 SEETHISQUICK positively blitzed maiden claimers nine days back, and that came on the heels of a solid placing on 1/25. No weight being added after a win, and in a field chock full of question marks, there's no reason this chap can't do it again. #5 FOX RED drops in class for the third straight time, loses seven pounds ( I'm jealous ), and is the clear speed of this deal. Watch out, suckahs ! #1 DIRTYFOOT ships in from Maryland and appears nicely spotted.  NOTE: AS OF 12:40, DUE TO A LATE, LATE SCRATCH, THE #4 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION. 

 

Race  4 

1.Gemini Witch

2.Bel Cuore

3.Vinda Machine

We're digging the #2 GEMINI WITCH in this spot. January bred was decently backed first time out, and after displaying okay early hoof, spit the bit rather readily after a half. That being said, this one slides in from the eight hole to the two slot, sheds nine lbs. with the hot bug assigned, owns a 369 Tomlinson figure ( which merits respect 2nd time out ), and exits a race where FOUR returnees came back to win ( from seven starters in six different races ). But wait --- there's more ! Over the last 60 months, Servis is a juicy 6 for 12 with second time starters in maiden claiming dirt sprints ( 20-1 or < ) off breaks of 50 days or less, who were OFF the board first time out. Play of the day. #1 BEL CUORE put up a career best # last out and has eye cups affixed today; logical. #8 VINDA MACHINE has hit the tri in two straight and is eligible to do such once again. 

 

Race  5 

1.Two Hot Betty 

2.Promise Me Roses

3.Courageous Queen

#8 TWO HOT BETTY is 1 for 2 off the shelf on the sand ( with that score occurring in the lone Ozone Park try ) and is a timid selection here. #2 PROMISE ME ROSES shoots for the hat trick for the miracle man who's 9 for 15 on the stand, and you'd be Silly McGilly to leave out. #5 COURAGEOUS QUEEN is a Repole/Pletcher charge who's in at an all time low this afternoon. Has enough speed to be a factor with these.  NOTE: AS OF 12:27, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH THE #7 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

 

Race  6

1.Mats Checkride

2.Margie Cat

3.Street Chamber

#1 MATS CHECKRIDE showed a little bit of early speed in the bow, then scarcely beat home the chase ambulance in the two followup outings. To a certain degree, those heats can be forgiven, ( given the slop and all ) and the grey gal ( who owns a 396 Tommy ) has been freshened up a bit to sort things out. Asking our readers to hearken on our call of Harkie once again, but at least you'll be getting 50-1 on what is pretty much the cheapest race they run on the grounds. #8 MARGIE CAT has shown zilch in the last duet, but with maidens we go anywhere in their P.P.'s, as they're maidens for a reason, ya know, and a couple of the outings last year weren't half bad. #9 STREET CHAMBER could perk up with the drop and hood. 

 

Race  7 

1.Gentle Annie

2.Cryinthemoonlight

3.Pas de Deuce 

#1 GENTLE ANNIE is "deceptively decent", having hit the super in eight straight at average odds of 16.13-1, and best work has come over a glib surface. Meeeeeekest of selections in a race where we were unable to eliminate anyone at first glance. #3 CRYINTHEMOONLIGHT was eased in the comebacker, but has done decent wok over this oval. #6 PAS DE DEUCE as good as any for the show dough.  NOTE: AS OF 12:33, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH THE #7 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

 

Race  8 

1.Hit It Once More

2.Holiday Bonus

3.Forewarned

Draw a line through the last of #2 HIT IT ONCE MORE, as the awkward onset pretty much eliminated all chance versus optional foes. If you scrolled through this ones lifetime past performances, you'll find out that he's 4 for 13 in two turn dirt races ( 3 for 32 otherwise ) and is also 2 for 5 when going for 1X to 2X. This isn't the most star studded stakes race, so why not look for value? #3 HOLIDAY BONUS gets off the rail today after three straight starts when starting from the pine ( 0-5 overall ) and may show a little more speed today being switched over to DiPrima, who's known to get a bit more zip out of his stock. #7 FOREWARNED ships in today off his two best outings to date, and barn shows confidence in the bug despite not getting a break in the weights.

 

Race  9

1.Peter's Project

2.Maimo

3.Zap Zap Zap

#1 PETER'S PROJECT sure is an old warhorse, huh? Nine year old has positively excelled at this trip throughout the years ( 13:6-3-0 ), and positively LOVES racing inside of other runners ( always nice to see ), as the 8:4-0-2 ledger when breaking from posts 1 & 2 tells us. Gelding was on quite the roll before the layoff, so maybe he needed his first two back, no? #3 MAIMO is dropped a tad below the price claimed two back & has a 2 fer 5 record @ the dx. #5 ZAP ZAP ZAP was an honest 3rd in first start off the purchase for good guy Mitch a month ago, and loses 64 ounces off that effort. 

 


Aqueduct      ( Current )     50-247     ( $303.00 )   Beatable Favorites     5-16  ( 31.3 % )  Favorites Win %:    106-247  ( 42.9% )( As of Sat. morning )

Graded Stakes ( Final ):     0-2          ( $0.00 )       Beatable Favorites: N/A                        Favorite's Win %:    0-2         ( 0.0% )


All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days  ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):

( 2013-2018 Final ) 60-366   ( $518.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 18-53 ( 34.0% ) Favorite's Win %: 125-366  ( 34.2% )  +/-: -29.1% against a 17.1% takeout  


Poly Tracks2013-6 (All Final): 85-568       ( $819.20 )    Beatable Favorites : 15-68     ( 22.1% )Favorite's Win %: 163-587      ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6%  against a 15.6% takeout

Dirt Tracks  2013-8 (All Final):2061-10077 ($17,281.50) Beatable Favorites : 304-1085( 28.0% )Favorite's Win %: 3698-10180 ( 36.4% ) +/-: -14.2%  against a 16.7% takeout


Cumulative Stats   (All Final): 2146-10645 ($18,100.70) Beatable Favorites : 319-1153( 27.7% )Favorite's Win %: 3861-10767 ( 35.9% ) +/-:  -14.9%  against a 16.5% takeout


 CoxLA2017