Just a reminder that for today's coverage of the six Grade One's from the Dubai World Cup, merely go back one page.

$21 winner here yesterday for us, along with two rolling doubles of $201 & $68, along with a $175 Exacta Box.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): Race 9 - #11 Tough Street

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.


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Aqueduct - 3/25


Race  1

1.Melting Snow


3.Alarm Clock

#1 MELTING SNOW  ( who has been claimed seven straight times -- one of them voided ) all the way to start your day. #2 MERAVIGLIOSO comes in off a career best effort for Jimmy Ferraro ( who was given the horse two starts back ) and found the line first the only time he took a shot at today's tricky distance of ground. Consistent sort has the makings of being a solid "unders" candidate. #4 ALARM CLOCK has partaken in the superfecta in all 15 of her dirt deals, and what the hell's wrong with that ?


Race  2

1.Sailor Speed 

2.Liam's Fire


#4 SAILOR SPEED is a bit on the cheep side, but often gives a good account of himself, and goes two turns to one for the 1st time today, for new bossman, Randi. Aforementioned shotcaller was victorious the only time he was handed a dirt runner & entered him off a break of 18 days or less ( $12 ). Mild choice in a race that's hard to hug. #8 LIAM'S FIRE has only bested the chase ambulance over his last pair, but we like to go back three races to find something positive, as sometimes you can find some decent value in doing so. Gelding could perk up off the drop. #2 PRINTRACK was a game runner up the only time he broke from the wood, and has been a part of the super in all three "true" second off the L/O attempts. Runner has been kept in jail since the purchase, and is promptly halved in price in hopes of returning a quick profit. Note that three returnees from the last came back to go 3:2-0-1 when next seen ( with a negligible Beyer change ). 


Race  3

1.Life and Light

2.B C Glory Days 

3.Ghostly Pronce

#6 LIFE AND LIGHT got up in time to procure the sheepskin down in Turfway Park a month back, and is smartly spotted for his first try against winners ( and 2nd dirt deal ). #4 B C GLORY DAYS ( who should be no worse than second for all you place punters out there ) has rounded into nice form over his last duet, and they'll have to grab him by the tail to get the glory. #2 GHOSTLY PRINCE has been in the money in both starts at this level & goes from a bug to a journeyman this afternoon.  NOTE: AS OF 11:11 ( Make a wish !! ), DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #7 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.


Race  4

1.Kant Hurry Love


3.Trust the Numbers

#8 KANT HURRY LOVE owns a 7:2-3-1-1 mark at the trip, owns the ability to send or rate a bit, and Double D is two of six with locally based allowance sand sprinters who crashed the fiesta < 41 days back, who are 9-1 or undah ( $10 & $3 ), with a sub category of 1-1 w/ today's jock astride. Dig the draw. #1 RESPECTFULLY hasn't been seen since mid December, but is one for two off a respite on the main, and said win came in her lone start when loading first. #2 TRUST THE NUMBERS hasn't faced the starter in a couple of St, Patrick's Days, but barn knows how to have 'em ready off elongated absences, and of the five next out dirt runners who finished directly behind her in the maiden breaker, three won & two showed, with an average BSF improvement of seven pts. per. 


Race  5

1.Tonal Impact

2.Good Skate

3.Locally Owned 

These three and no more for all our rolling action.  #7 TONAL IMPACT is on a 7:5-2-0 skein of late, and four of those efforts came in local dirt routes. Makes all kinds of sense once again. #1 GOOD SKATE is another doing good things of late, and his finest work has come right here in Ozone Park. Recognize the nine post swing in his favor from the above from their last encounter. #5 LOCALLY OWNED totes the lightest impost in his 35 race career ( by seven lb's. ) and could spice things up a tad. 


Race  6


2.Ride Up

3.Moore's Law

#5 ASMODEUS has blinkers added off a daylight clear runner up in this race five weeks back, goes from an apprentice to a vet, and should demolish these. #7 RIDE UP has yet to miss the money, and catches a glib surface for just the 2nd time. Looms the mainger danger to the above. #4 MOORE'S LAW came along belatedly to pick up 12% of the pot at first asking, and given the outfit, is eligible to improve. 


Race  7

1.Easy Day

2.Warrior in Chief

3.Lohengrin Two

#4 EASY DAY had an easy time of it when winning this race at Philadelphia Park on the 7th, and the hat trick is well, well, within reach today.  #5 WARRIOR IN CHIEF loses a whopping nine pounds off a wire to wire score vs. mildly weaker ( something we always dig ) and can land a minor award. #3 LOHENGRIN TWO has had the lead at the first call in his last 15 heats, and gets appreciable improvement in the irons as well. Gelding's best work has come at today's distance, and could go all the way should our top choice stub his hoof a bit. 


Race  8

1.Ragtime Blues

2.Luni Sima

3.Glory Road

#5 RAGTIME BLUES returned off a nine week break in the action to essentially go all the way for a quarter ( after being claimed for 32K ) and ended up in a new barn afterwards, for all his efforts. Six year old "horse" ( Don't sing the blues, buddy -- you can still hit the high note !! ) is a snappy three fer four in second off the bench jammies, and stock goes up if Printrack performs well in today's 2nd. #10 LUNI SIMA drops 80 oz. and has fared well when beginning from "outside-ish" slots. May offer some hidden value. #3 GLORY ROAD is 4-7 at The Big A, and that's more than enough reason to chunk in in an event with but two first draft tossouts. 


Race  9

1.Movie Moxy

2.Know It All Audrey

3.Dame Cinco 

#6 MOVIE MOXY owns a 5:2-1-2 boxscore at today's dist., and from a DRF Formulator aspect, barn is 5 for 12 with Aqueduct based allowance dirt equines who were 1-2-3 less than 16 days ago ( ridden by today's jockey ), with mutuels of $7 x 2, $3, $6 & $23. #9 KNOW IT ALL AUDREY has done "miraculous" work since being claimed by Oscar Barrera, and how do you argue with this one's overall mark at the trip and over the strip. #5 DAME CINCO ( uncoupled barnmate with our secondary selection ) got up in time to beat similar by a schnoz last out, and is another who digs the layout.   NOTE: AS OF 11:15, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #2 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION, AND #11 WILL BE A BEATABLE FAVORITE.


Race  10

1.Lord Gatling

2.Daddy Knows 

3.Winter Pool

#2 LORD GATLING has proven to be a decent claim by Edmund Pringle, as he's amassed more than 3X the 14K purchase price from October 28th, while having been entered at appreciably higher levels in each start. Like we alluded to earlier, we like to take a gander at the most recent triad of races to find something we can wet our beak in, and as he bested two next out victors in the December affair, we'll swing away -- especially as our next two choices have a couple of question marks attached to 'em. #1 DADDY KNOWS was a visually impressive victor when besting $16,000 foes last month, but is 12:0-2-1 when starting from the inside two slots, so we'll keep beneath. #4 WINTER POOL hasn't been seen since a win & a voided claim back in early January, and it would behoove to look long and hard pre race.  NOTE: AS OF 11:19, DUE TO TWO LATE SCRATCHES, OUR AMENDED SELECTIONS WILL BE 5-10-1.


Aqueduct            ( Current ):   88-351  ( $581.90 )   Beatable  Favorites: 9-19 ( 47.4% )  Favorites Win %:    130-351 ( 37% )( As of Saturday Morning )

Graded Stakes   ( Current ):      0-6       ( $0 )          Beatable  Favorites:  N/A                  Favorites Win %:      0-6        ( 0% )


All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days  ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):

( 2013-2022 Final ) 74-465  ( $703.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 18-57 ( 31.6% ) Favorite's Win %: 140-414 (33.8%)  +/-: -24.3% against a 16.8% takeout  

Polytracks   2013-16 (All Final): 85-568          ( $819.20 )   Beatable Favorites : 15-68     ( 22.1% )Favorite's Win %: 163-587      ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6%  against a 15.6% takeout

Dirt Tracks  2013-22 (All Final):3564-17968 ($30,467.70)  Beatable Favorites : 425-1575( 27.1% )Favorite's Win %: 6773-18041( 37.5% ) +/-: -15.2%  against a 16.8% takeout

Cumulative Stats    (All Final): 3648-18596  ( $31,280.20 )Beatable Favorites : 440-1641( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 6783-18285 ( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.9%  against a 16.7% takeout