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Just a reminder that if you want our complete selections & analysis for today's Aqueduct card, merely go back one page.

As we've done on New Year's Eve's & St. Patrick's Day's in the past, we will encourage safe driving this Sunday, by making up to a $10 donation to Old Friends at Cabin Creek for anyone who sends us a photo of a cab/Uber receipt from 4PM to 4AM on Sunday in that person's name. We want y'all to have fun AND be safe AND do it all while helping our retired equines !

AMAZING news for us here. If you loved the annual homage I write about my father every year for SaratogaBets , you'll be happy to know that I was asked to do a reading for "Our American Stories" (1.7 million weekly listeners), and guess what -- here it is !  http://www.ouramericannetwork.org/story?title=My-Parents-Are-Gone-But-Their-Traditions-Aren-t&fbclid=IwAR0nxu9wzv3sHr3853i6prcuIYN43GK6J-1YaDzmy7ft7oIE2CD5AbDiCjU

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same!


Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None


I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me here on Disqus, or on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1. For those who dig the scene here, and would like to be part of it, registration on our home page is easy, and if you'd like, feel free to include my name in the referral box, and let me know, so I can try and get ya' some cool swag!


 

Graded Stakes - 3/16 - Rebel Stakes from Oaklawn ( Both Divisions )

 

Race 8 (Division One) 

1.Extra Hope

2.Improbable

3.Galilean

We're seeing the first of this split Rebel as a bit of a chalky one ( at least with the top three ), and after shaving off two of the nine signed on with our first draft, we discovered three extremely strong DRF Formulator stats. And like Al Pacino said in 'Carlito's Way', "Without further 'to do'", here they are. #1 EXTRA HOPE: This one has essentially improved with each and every start, and Mandella has a tight 4:3-0-1 mark with second off the layoff graded dirt stayers at 8-1 or less ( 65-1 or < ). The winners came back $7, $6 & $2, and of course, what's wrong with having Mikey in the irons? #9 IMPROBABLE: Baffert charge is a poyfect 3 for 3 thus far, and with gaudy numbers to boot. Aforementioned conditioner is 12:8-2-1-1 with dirt routers at this level who won 51-105 days back & are 3-1 or lower ( $2.69 ROI ). His race to lose. #8 GALILEAN: May foal is but a neck shy of an unblemished record, and Hollendorfer is 12:7-1-2 with 2nd off the shelf runners of this ilk who tallied in their most recent ( 6-1 or undah ). 

 

 Race 10 (Division Two)

1.Game Winner

2.Omaha Beach

3.Laughing Fox

#5 GAME WINNER has done absolutely nothing wrong in all four starts to date, and we like the way that this one can lay close to the pace, or rate from five lengths off it. Bob Baffert's Baked Beans is a jazzy 15:10-2-1 with graded stock going long on the sand who won 51-237 days back & are 3-1 or beneath ( $2.72 return on investment ). Another deserving chalk from this outfit. You can feel free to put an upwards arrow next to the Beyers of #6 OMAHA BEACH, as they're definitely heading in the right direction. Colt is slightly better bred for the green than the brown, but the dirt #'s so far have been better; plenty of upside here. #2 LAUGHING FOX is another who's figuring things out quite rapidly, and sheds 48 ounces off a troubled score. 

 


Aqueduct      ( Current )     60-301    ( $360.90 )      Beatable Favorites: 7-22  ( 31.8 % )     Favorites Win %:   123-301 ( 42.9% )( As of Saturday morning )

Graded Stakes ( Final ):     0-3          ( $0.00 )        Beatable Favorites: N/A                      Favorite's Win %:    0-3       ( 0.0% )


All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days  ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ):

( 2013-2018 Final ) 60-366   ( $518.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 18-53 ( 34.0% ) Favorite's Win %: 125-366  ( 34.2% )  +/-: -29.1% against a 17.1% takeout 


Poly Tracks2013-6 (All Final): 85-568       ( $819.20 )    Beatable Favorites : 15-68     ( 22.1% )Favorite's Win %: 163-587      ( 27.7% ) +/-: -27.6%  against a 15.6% takeout

Dirt Tracks  2013-8 (All Final):2061-10077 ($17,281.50) Beatable Favorites : 304-1085( 28.0% )Favorite's Win %: 3698-10180 ( 36.4% ) +/-: -14.2%  against a 16.7% takeout


 Cumulative Stats   (All Final): 2146-10645 ($18,100.70) Beatable Favorites : 319-1153( 27.7% )Favorite's Win %: 3861-10767 ( 35.9% ) +/-:  -14.9%  against a 16.5% takeout


  CoxLA2017